Thursday 25 March 2010

Election Prediction 2010

Election Predict 2010 announced today that conservatives have dropped 5% in the betting. The website says that there is a 50:50 chance of having either a conservative majority or a hung parliament.

The following map shows seats in the UK at the moment:



If you click 'Betfair forecast' you can compare the seats now to the seats after the general election according to predictions by the world's leading betting exchange.

Why not make your own predictions using the diagrams above and let me know the results? Who do you think will get the majority vote? Or do you predict a hung parliament? Is there still time for Labour to pull it back?

8 comments:

  1. The odd thing is that I suspect you will have very few comments on this posting- because people don't connect their local cosntituency with the bigger party political battle at the general election. Sad to say that too few people under 25 can tell me the name of their local MP. They might be able to guess the political party. Out of a room of 100 students, my guess is that no more than two or three will have ever volunteered to work for a party on a local or national election.

    That won't stop people taking a view as to who will win overall control and form the next government, however. As for me? A veteran of seven previous general elections- including several in which "hung parliaments" were predicted, my gut tells me it will be a win for the Conservatives- however fair or unfair that will be. Mind you, I guessed wrong in 1992, when I thought Labour would win and yet John Major squeaked through.

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